note: I wrote this article back in early 2007, when it was still a toss-up as to how each console would be received. This is probably the only time I have made a forecast that pretty much came true. Nostradamus need not worry…then again, I guess he would’ve seen this coming anyway.
Ok, we all have been here. You purchased your shiny next gen console, maybe even within the first week it was released…and you were happy. You brought it home, hooked it up, bought a few games for it…and now, several months down the road, you find yourself taking a closer look at the ‘competition’. It’s not that you are unhappy with your current console, you just want some variety…and if you are like so many of the other hard-to-medium core gamers, you will end up buying a second console.
Let’s take a look at my experiences with the last gen systems (GameCube, Xbox, and Playstation 2). I was lucky enough to get a PS2 at launch back in the day thanks to my incredibly devoted parents and some connections at Wal-Mart. The fact that it played DVDs was a good selling point. The PS2 was awesome. I’m a huge fan of the Tekken and Final Fantasy series and Sony had both. Technically this was my second console of that gaming generation. I already had a DreamCast, but sadly it didn’t sell very well and it never lived to see its full potential.
However, about year later the GameCube was released. I’ve always been a huge fan of the Zelda series and knew that you can’t go wrong with Nintendo if you are looking for well made first party games. Why did I buy the GameCube? Mario, Zelda, Metroid, and of course…Smash Brothers.
Would I have been happy with one console? Sure, but I would have missed out on some great fun. Sega had Sonic (exclusive to the DC at first), Sony had Final Fantasy (as well as Kingdom Hearts, a classic), and Nintendo had the killer cast we all know and love. I got these consoles for the exclusive games they offered. After a few price drops, I picked up an Xbox as well just for Halo.
That’s my story of the last gen, but what about this generation. None of the consoles of last gen severely undercut each other in terms of price. However, this generation is a bit different. Here is how I think it will go if my gaming intuition is correct…
A good number of gamers out there bought an Xbox360 as their first console of this gen. However, by now those guys are thinking, ‘hmm…well my console is great and everything, but titles for suchandsuch system are looking pretty fun.’ Being the harder core gamers they are, they will end up purchasing a secondary console, and my bet is that it will be the Wii. This is my guess for the PS3 owners as well. Medium-to-hard core gamers who purchased a Wii will decide between a 360 or a PS3, but will probably wait until problems with the 360 are resolved and there is a true price drop for the PS3.
So, a couple of years down the road I see the Wii as the top seller overall followed by the 360 and PS3, who will be closer to each other in sales than either one will be to the Wii’s total sales.
I feel that we are overlooking the fact that several gamers will buy more than one console of this generation. The PS3 and 360 are duking it out for second place overall due to their similarity. The Wii stands out as a quasi-next gen system with some great games coming out for it. The Wii may be weaker than the others, but most gamers don’t buy consoles for what the console can do…they buy it for the games.
What will be your secondary console?











